Nate Silver’s Very Very Wrong Predictions About Donald Trump Are Terrifying

Nobody knows what the future holds. That’s what makes it so interesting—and often terrifying. But it’s become increasingly clear that the person who knows the least about the future is the one that everybody has been turning to for answers about the future of American politics: Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight. Nate Silver emerged as Our National Oracle™ after successfully predicting many of the results in the 2008 election. But as Silver’s satirical counterpart, Carl Diggler, has proven time and again, you may as well just be going with gut instinct based on Silver’s terrible track record since 2008.Nobody knows if Donald Trump will win. But one thing that has become clear is that prediction models about elections are virtually worthless. Silver’s current hedging about who will win on Tuesday sounds like word salad.

CONTINUE READING: Nate Silver’s Very Very Wrong Predictions About Donald Trump Are Terrifying

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